SBI Research: Indian economy to cross 7% growth in FY23: SBI Research report – Times of India

New Delhi: The Indian economy According to a report released by the State Bank of India, manufacturing is on track to cross a growth rate of 7 per cent in fiscal 2023, with manufacturing being the key driver.
research report of state bank of india, ecowrap The report released on Friday said that India’s growth rate is likely to be 5.5 per cent in the fourth quarter of FY23, taking the country’s growth rate to 7.1 per cent for FY23.
This is in line with advance estimates released by the National Statistical Office (NSO) in January, which pegged the growth rate at 7 per cent for the year ending March 31, 2023.
According to Ecowrap, the different patterns of growth emerging around the world are posing unprecedented challenges to policy makers, regulators and economists in estimating the actual rates of projected growth, not only during the current year – 2023 – but also 2024 and 2025. Will continue till Inflation trajectory management has been lengthened for central banks after last year’s surprise turn of events.
Amidst this global hullabaloo, SBI Research The report said that India is expected to continue its performance by following a different path of zeroing in on the drivers of growth, renewed interest in flexible manufacturing while supporting the service sector to adopt increased efficiency Looking for growth.
The report said that domestic consumption and investment will benefit from strong prospects for agriculture and allied activities, strengthening business and consumer confidence, and strong credit growth, while supply response and cost conditions are likely to improve as inflation moderates. The pressure is decreasing.
The emphasis on capital expenditure in the Union Budget 2023-24 is expected to crowd in private investment, strengthen job creation and demand, and enhance our growth potential, the report said.
The RBI estimates Q4FY23 real GDP growth at 5.1 per cent and the full year FY23 estimate by the National Statistical Office (NSO) at 7 per cent. For 2023-24, the RBI is projecting GDP growth at 6.5 per cent, compared with 7.6 per cent in the first quarter (Q1).
SBI’s ANN (Artificial Neural Network) model, based on 30 high-frequency indicators from key sectors, has been tuned/trained to project the GDP numbers for the fourth quarter of FY 2022-23 (Q4FY23). forecasts quarterly GDP growth at 5.5 percent. SBI Research Ecowrap said. Added to this rate, India’s GDP growth for FY23 is expected to be 7.1 per cent.
world economic outlook In April 2023, the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) (WEO) report revised the baseline growth forecast to 2.8 percent in 2023 from 3.4 percent in 2022, before settling at 3 percent in 2024. The report said advanced economies (AEs) are expected to see a particularly pronounced growth deceleration, from 2.7 per cent in 2022 to 1.3 per cent in 2023.
Global headline inflation is set to decline from 8.7 per cent in 2022 to 7 per cent in 2023 in the baseline case, although core inflation is likely to decline more slowly, the report said.
Meanwhile, India Inc continues to lead the economic transformation by adopting improved operational and financial efficiencies, said SBI Research Ecowrap. It added in Q4FY23, around 1,700 listed entities registered a top line growth of 12% while PAT grew by around 19 per cent over the same period last year. This saw the same set of companies report nearly 23 per cent growth in earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) in Q4FY23.
The corporate results for Q4FY23, ex-banking, financial services and insurance (BFSI) showed nearly 10 per cent growth in both top line and bottom line, while EBITDA grew by 7 per cent as compared to Q4FY22, the report said .
Further, the report said that it was pertinent to mention that corporate margins, which had been under constant pressure over the past few quarters, showed signs of improvement in Q4 FY2023. As reflected in the results pre-BFSI, EBITDA margin of around 1,500 listed entities, on an aggregate basis, increased from 13.96 per cent in Q4FY22 to 14.34 per cent in Q4FY23, as per the report.
The SBI research report also said that green shoots are also emerging on foreign capital inflows into the capital market in FY24 with foreign institutional investors (FIIs) inflows, which is opposite to the 2022 trend.
It also states that the banking turmoil in the US has affected the funding of start-ups, especially due to the failure of niche banks, although it is expected that domestic financial institutions will be able to meet the financial needs of these changes. Provides a pedestal to ensure sweet interiors. The space occupied by India grows in a disruptive and disproportionate manner.